中国大学学历溢价及其变动

College Degree Premium and Its Changes in China

利用中国综合社会调查(CGSS)2003年和2010年数据,估计了高校扩招前后中国大学学历溢价及其变动。结果表明:虽然高校扩招增加了大学生劳动力的供给,但中国经济强劲发展催生出的巨大需求,足以抵消其影响,大学生就业难实质是新大学毕业生的就业难;高校扩招让女性、非党员、中低收入群体获益更多,扩招增进了社会公平;对不同学历劳动力的需求在区域和城市层面出现分化趋势,而在行业和所有制层面出现趋同趋势。

THis paper uses the Chinese General Social Survey （CGSS） 2003 and 2010 data to estimate the college degree premium and its changes before and after the expansion of high educationThe results show thatalthough the high education expansion increases labor supply of college graduateshut the increasing demand induced by Chinese economy development can offset the impactThe employment difficulty indeed only exists in new college graduatesHigh education expansion lets womennonparty members and lowincome goups benefit moreso it promotes social fairnessThe different degree labor demand become diverged at the regional and city level and converged at the industry and ownership level.