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Dynamic system uncertainty propagation using polynomial chaos 被引量:11

Dynamic system uncertainty propagation using polynomial chaos
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摘要 The classic polynomial chaos method(PCM), characterized as an intrusive methodology,has been applied to uncertainty propagation(UP) in many dynamic systems. However, the intrusive polynomial chaos method(IPCM) requires tedious modification of the governing equations, which might introduce errors and can be impractical. Alternative to IPCM, the non-intrusive polynomial chaos method(NIPCM) that avoids such modifications has been developed. In spite of the frequent application to dynamic problems, almost all the existing works about NIPCM for dynamic UP fail to elaborate the implementation process in a straightforward way, which is important to readers who are unfamiliar with the mathematics of the polynomial chaos theory. Meanwhile, very few works have compared NIPCM to IPCM in terms of their merits and applicability. Therefore, the mathematic procedure of dynamic UP via both methods considering parametric and initial condition uncertainties are comparatively discussed and studied in the present paper. Comparison of accuracy and efficiency in statistic moment estimation is made by applying the two methods to several dynamic UP problems. The relative merits of both approaches are discussed and summarized. The detailed description and insights gained with the two methods through this work are expected to be helpful to engineering designers in solving dynamic UP problems. The classic polynomial chaos method(PCM), characterized as an intrusive methodology,has been applied to uncertainty propagation(UP) in many dynamic systems. However, the intrusive polynomial chaos method(IPCM) requires tedious modification of the governing equations, which might introduce errors and can be impractical. Alternative to IPCM, the non-intrusive polynomial chaos method(NIPCM) that avoids such modifications has been developed. In spite of the frequent application to dynamic problems, almost all the existing works about NIPCM for dynamic UP fail to elaborate the implementation process in a straightforward way, which is important to readers who are unfamiliar with the mathematics of the polynomial chaos theory. Meanwhile, very few works have compared NIPCM to IPCM in terms of their merits and applicability. Therefore, the mathematic procedure of dynamic UP via both methods considering parametric and initial condition uncertainties are comparatively discussed and studied in the present paper. Comparison of accuracy and efficiency in statistic moment estimation is made by applying the two methods to several dynamic UP problems. The relative merits of both approaches are discussed and summarized. The detailed description and insights gained with the two methods through this work are expected to be helpful to engineering designers in solving dynamic UP problems.
出处 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2014年第5期1156-1170,共15页 中国航空学报(英文版)
基金 supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51105034) the Doctoral Thesis Build Project of Beijing 2012 (China)
关键词 Dynamic system Gliding trajectory Intrusive polynomial chaos Non-intrusive polynomial chaos Uncertainty propagation Uncertainty quantification Dynamic system Gliding trajectory Intrusive polynomial chaos Non-intrusive polynomial chaos Uncertainty propagation Uncertainty quantification
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