农村金融发展与农村经济增长关系研究

Relationship Analysis of Rural Financial Development and Rural Economic Growth in China

基于面板门限模型,实证研究了我国31个省市1994—2008年农村金融发展与农村经济增长之间的关系。研究表明,农村金融发展与农村经济增长呈现显著负相关,且存在区间效应,随着农村金融发展的不断深化,农村金融发展对农村经济增长的抑制作用不断减弱。这一实证结果为我国通过不断深化农村金融发展进而促进农村经济增长提供了实证层面的支撑。

Based on panel threshold model, the paper made an empirical study on the relationship of rural financial development and rural economic growth in 31 provinces of China between 1994 and 2008. The study has shown that, rural financial development and rural economic growth is a sig- nificant negative correlation, but this negative correlation has a interval effect, the inhibition on rural economic growth of rural financial development is weakening with the continuous deepening of the rural financial development. The empirical results provide empirical level support of promoting ru- ral economic growth in China through deepening rural financial development.