利益捆绑与中国—东盟关系发展

China-ASEAN:Mutual Benefit Bounds Bilateral Relationship and Its Evolution

中国-东盟关系在"黄金十年"里取得了巨大成就,但在向"钻石十年"迈进之时我们发现,依靠双边经济合作的双赢利益捆绑的双边关系在新的国际关系条件下出现政经分离的倾向。为深化中国-东盟关系、打造成功的"钻石十年",中国政府提出了一系列深化双边合作的倡议,从政治、经济两方面入手,试图化解政治互信不足的约束。但考虑到东盟采取的与大国保持等距离外交的战略,以及中国-东盟现存一些问题的化解难度,预计在未来一个时期中国一东盟关系还将主要依靠经济合作的利益捆绑。

The “Golden Decade”of China-ASEAN cooperation witnessed rapid growth of bilateral trade and invest-ment,and economic interdependence became the binding force of China-ASEAN relations.However,a new trend of the di-vorcing of political and economic interest calculation emerged at the turning point towards a “Diamond Decade”,which meant that the binding effect of their economic interdependence for China and ASEAN would gradually decline.Aiming at breaking the bottleneck of the mutual trust deficit,Chinese government launched the “2 +7”cooperation framework to deepen China-ASEAN relations.Although these efforts should be encouraged,it seemed that bilateral political trust was not easy to be promoted,especially when ASEAN’s “balance of power”strategy was considered,therefore,this paper argued that the economic initiatives in “2 +7”framework would be more effective,and China ASEASN relationship would be a more economic benefit bound one.