中部地区新型城镇化发展协调度时空变化及形成机制

Spatial-Temporal Variation and Formation Mechanism of Neo-Urbanization Development Coordination in Central China

在城镇化发展协调度评价指标体系构建的基础上,运用综合评分法、变异系数分析法、地统计全局趋势分析法等方法探索了2001年以来中部地区80个城市的城镇化发展协调度时空变化及形成机制。结果显示:12010年,中部地区分类城镇化差异呈现出土地城镇化>人口城镇化>社会城镇化>经济城镇化,省域城镇化发展协调度表现为湖北省>安徽省>河南省>山西省>江西省>湖南省。2自2001年以来,中部地区城镇化综合水平不断提高,城镇化综合水平差异总体呈现减小趋势,但这并未带来城镇化协调度的稳步增高,而是整体降低且呈先增大后减小趋势。3武汉、长株潭城市圈内城市城镇化综合水平提升速度较快,城市群一体化发展趋势越发明显,然而京九段等经济带所辖城市虽形成经济协作关系,但在城镇化协同发展上还未显现明显规律。4中部地区在城镇化发展进程中,中部重大经济战略体的形成、产业转移承接及集聚要素创新等因素对城镇化发展协调度时空格局的形成产生重要影响。

Based on the index system for urbanization development coordination evaluating, this paper discussed about the spatial-temporal dynamics＇ and formation mechanism of urbanization coordination for 80 cities of central China since 2001, using the integrated comprehensive evaluating, variation coefficient and geography. The results indicated that （1） it ranged from high to low degrees for land sprawl, population growth, society property and economic development in central China, while the provincial urbanization coordination decreased from Hubei to Anhui, He＇ nan, Shanxi, and Hu＇ nan provinces successively in 2010. （2） With the continuous promotion of the comprehensive urbanization degrees since 2001, the gap within cities in urbanization obtained a general trend of being narrowing. However, rather than leading to steadily increasing in coordination degree, it shaped the specific urbanization coordination degree thatrises firstly and then decreases during the study periods. （3） The fleetly growth＇ in comprehensive urbanization degrees of Wuhan and Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan metropolis these years demonstrated the increasingly obvious tendency of integrated development. However, cites within Economic Belts along Jingjiu did not prove any apparent regularity over coordinating urbanization despite of their established economic relations. （4） The spatial-temporal patterns of urbanization coordination had been greatly impacted by the economic strategies, industry shift and congregate factors during the urbanization in central China.