湖南省城镇化与工业化互动发展的实证分析

Demonstration analysis of Hunan province urbanization and industrialization's interactive development

城镇化和工业化相互依存,相互促进。本文通过定性与定量结合的方法,从不同角度实证分析湖南城镇化与工业化进程的互动发展和关联效应,得到了以下结论:湖南城镇化与工业发展的相关性较低,城镇化水平相对落后于工业化发展进程;在湖南省工业化的进程中,就业结构变化对城镇化的带动和促进作用强于产出结构的带动和促进作用;第二产业和非农产业特别是服务业就业比重的快速上升对湖南省城镇化的带动作用较强。

Urbanization and industrialization are interdependent and promote each other. Through the combination of qualitative and quantitative method, this article analyses the interaction and association effect between urbanization and industrialization in Hunan province from different angles ,and gets the fol- lowing conclusion： the correlation of urbanization and industrial development is low, the urbanization level is relatively backward in the development process of industrialization; In the process of industrialization in Hunan province, the employment structure change on the promoting urbanization is stronger than the output structure; The rapid increase of the second industry and non-agricultural industries, especially the ser- vice industry ,play a strong role in promoting the ur- banization of Hunan Province.