丝绸之路经济带建设与中国贸易之应对——基于引力模型的研究

The Economic Belt Development of the Silk Road and China's Strategy in Trade

从贸易角度考察,中国对丝绸之路经济带上国家,尤其是对一些经济规模较小国家已经初步发挥了贸易带动作用,成为这些国家产品出口的重要市场,但与这些国家的贸易规模还较小。通过贸易引力模型实证研究发现,国家经济规模是影响中国与丝绸之路经济带上国家贸易规模的最重要因素,也成为制约贸易规模进一步拓展的最重要因素。中国在丝绸之路经济带贸易发展中,要将丝绸之路经济带上经济规模较小国家视为重要的利益攸关方,而不仅仅是产品出口的市场,并且依托巨大国内市场扩大进口。通过承担更多责任,成为带动丝绸之路经济带国家经贸发展的重要力量。

From the perspective of trade, China has been leading the business and trade among other countries on the economic belt of the Silk Road; it has already become an important market for exports of those countries--though the size of its trade with those countries is still small. An empirical study is done based on gravity model, and the result shows that the size of the national economy greatly influences the size of China＇s trade with other countries on this economic belt and that it can also become a restrictive power to the expansion of trade scale. China should take smaller countries on the Silk Road as important stakeholders rather than simply export markets; it should rely on its huge domestic market and take on more responsibilities to become an important force in national trade and economic development for other countries on the Silk Road.