后“十二五”时期我国城镇住房保障比例分析研究

Research on the Proportion of Chinese Urban Housing Security after the 12th Five-Year Plan Period

本文首先对我国保障性住房政策以及"十二五"时期我国保障性住房建设已完成情况进行总结;其次通过计量模型分析预测"十二五"时期末及后"十二五"时期住房保障比例,得出"十二五"时期保障性住房20%覆盖率规划目标并不能满足住房需求,保障性住房建设任务依然艰巨的结论;针对建设过程中存在的问题,本文从土地供应、资金、建设管理以及制度体系等方面提出策略建议,为后"十二五"时期我国保障性住房建设提供参考。

The paper firstly summarizes the policy of security housing and the completed construction of security housing in the 12 th Five-Year Plan.Through analyzing and forecasting the proportion of housing security in the end of the 12 th Five-Year Plan and after the period by the econometrics model,the paper secondly raises the point that the 20%coverage rate in the 12 th Five-Year Plan can not meet the need and the task of security housing is still arduous.In view of the problems in the construction of security housing,the paper makes suggestions from the supply of land,finance,the management of construction and the system,providing reference for the construction of the period after the 12 th Five-Year Plan.