摘要
在探讨陕西省人口老龄化现状与经济增长因素的基础上,选择储蓄、人口结构比重、经济增长率作为研究指标,利用陕西省1990—2013年相关统计数据,对陕西省人口结构、储蓄与经济增长关系进行了ADF检验和Johansen模型分析.研究结果表明:陕西省人口老龄化水平与储蓄有着较显著的负线性关系,经济发展与人口老龄化水平呈显著负相关,老龄化的加剧不利于人口红利的实现和经济发展水平的提高.
On the basis of an aging population＇s present situation and the economic growth,we chose savings,theproportion of population structure,and economic growth rate as the research targets. Based on the relevant statisticsfrom 1990 to 2013 in Shaanxi Province,we made a ADF test and analysis of Johansen model for its populationstructure,savings and economic growth. This research shows that population aging level has a significantly negativelinear relationship with savings to Shaanxi Province,and the level of economic development and aging has significantlynegative correlation. Speeding of aging,is not conducive to the realization of the demographic dividend and thedevelopment of economic.
出处
《河南科学》
2014年第11期2418-2422,共5页
Henan Science
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金(10YJAZH041)
国家社科基金项目西部项目(13XSH017)
西安外国语大学研究生科研基金项目(syjsa201407)
关键词
人口红利
老龄化
经济增长
人口结构
储蓄
demographic dividend
aging
economic growth
population structure
savings
