公路行车驾驶失误率计算方法及其简化研究

Research on Calculation Method and Simplified Algorithm for Driving Fault Rate on Highway

为了定量分析驾驶人的驾驶失误,为公路交通安全评价提供理论及模型支撑,采用定量与定性相结合的研究方法,在分析各国相关研究成果的基础上,提出了公路行车驾驶人驾驶失误率计算方法及其简化算法。以人因失误理论为基础,构建了公路行车驾驶人驾驶差错率模型;依据驾驶差错到驾驶失误演变理论,定义驾驶失误率为未被纠正的那部分驾驶差错,提出驾驶差错的纠正度和差错度的概念,据此构建驾驶失误率模型,并根据公路交通条件及安全特性,提出了驾驶失误率的简化算法。结果表明:所提出的计算方法具有可行性,对提高公路交通系统安全水平、服务能力和运行效率具有一定的理论意义和实用价值。

In order to quantitatively analyze the driver＇s driving fault,provide the theory and model support for traffic safety evaluation on highway.By adopting the qualitative and quantitative research methods,on the base of the analysis of the correlative researches at home and abroad,the calculation method and simplified algorithm for the driving fault rate on the highway was put forward.Based on the human factors fault theory,the calculation model for the driving error rate was established.According to the evolution theory from driving error to driving fault,the driving fault was defined as the section of the driving error which was not corrected,and the concepts of the correction degree and error degree of the driving error were presented,then the calculation model for the driving fault rate was established.Based on the highway traffic conditions and safety characteristics,a simplified algorithm for the driving fault rate was proposed.The results show that the method is feasible,and has important theoretical and practical significance for improving the safety level,service capability and driving efficiency of highway traffic system.