摘要
本文从碳排放的角度,运用改进的SRIO模型计算2002、2007与2010年中国四类产品出口隐含碳,利用LMDI分解技术对2002—2007年和2007—2010年四类产品出口隐含碳排放驱动因素进行分解,并结合产品技术复杂度来综合分析中国出口产品结构变动情况。结果表明,出口重心向技术复杂度更高的人力资本密集型和资本技术密集型产品转移,出口产品呈高端化发展趋势;相对于自然资源密集型和非熟练劳动密集型产品,人力资本密集型和资本技术密集型产品的碳排放强度更高,但下降速率更快,出口产品总体呈低碳化发展趋势;人力资本密集型产品与非熟练劳动密集型产品加工贸易比重较大,"节省"了大量碳排放。
The carbon emissions embodied in exports in 2002, 2007 and 2010 was evaluated by using an improved SRIO model and the driving factors of it were analyzed with LMDI technique. The paper also analyzed China＇s export structure evolution. The results show that China is exporting more human capital intensive products and capital intensive products which have higher technical complexity as well as higher carbon emission intensity, while the carbon emission intensity of them declines rapidly. In the meanwhile, processing trade which can avoid a lot of carbon emissions within the country owing to the imported intermediate inputs, has a larger proportion in human capital intensive and unskilled labour intensive product exports compared with that in capital intensive and natural resource product ex-
出处
《中国科技论坛》
CSSCI
北大核心
2015年第1期132-137,共6页
Forum on Science and Technology in China
基金
国家油菜产业技术体系建设专项(CARS-13)
湖北省科技计划软科学研究专项"现代农业产业技术经济政策研究"(2012GDA00701)
关键词
出口产品结构
碳排放
LMDI分解技术
驱动因素
Export structure
Carbon emissions
LMDI decomposition technology
Driving factors
