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基于实物期权的三阶段投资策略分析

An Analysis of Optimal Strategy in Three-stage Investment Based on Real Option Theory
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摘要 研究了三阶段投资项目中,投资比例对项目总价值的影响和关键因素对投资阈值的影响问题。描述了复合实物期权的基本思想,参照Ottoo的研究思路,调整了投资时刻与投资比例的前提假设,分析了三阶段的投资比例的问题,并进行了数值计算,对关键因素进行了敏感性分析,得出了三阶段最佳投资策略。 The author studied three-stage investment ratio problem and problem of influence of key factors on threshold value in real option investment in this paper. Taking multi-period investment of decision-making as an example, the author described the basic ideas of real option theory. Then according to Ottoo's researches result, the author changed the assumption condition of time & ratio of investment, analyzed the problem of investment ratio of three-stage in real option investment, conducted numerical calculation, made sensitivity analysis and concluded some intuitive and applicable results.
作者 马旭耀
出处 《价值工程》 2015年第4期4-5,共2页 Value Engineering
基金 国家产业振兴与技术改造项目 陕发改投资[2013]984
关键词 投资管理 分阶段投资 实物期权 最优比例 technical improvement multi-period investment real option optimal ratio
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参考文献6

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  • 4OttooRichard.Valuation of internal growth opportunities:The case of a biotechnology company [J].The Quarterly Review ofEconomics and Finance,Special issue, 1998,38:537-567.
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