概率统计数学模型在投资决策中的应用

Use of Mathematical Model of Probability Statistics in Investment Decision

为降低项目风险、保证投资决策的准确性,从经济决策的角度作为研究切入点,通过对项目投资决策中的潜在风险进行分析,构建了一套模糊综合评判模型。针对项目投资中风险的不确定性、模糊性,运用概率统计模型对各种风险进行总体性的评断,准确地实现了数据从静态至动态的转变,把经济范围内遭遇到的各种棘手问题用数学模型的方式思考,为投资决策提供科学的依据。

To reduce project risks and ensure the accuracy of the investment decision-making,taking economic decision as a research starting point,this paper analyzes the potential risk in the decision-making of project investment and constructs a set of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model.For uncertainty and fuzziness of risk in project investment,the transformation of data from static to dynamic is accurately realized using probability statistics model to overall judge the various risks.Thinking the economic problems in the way of the mathematical model provides scientific basis for investment decision.