俄罗斯加入WTO对其与独联体国家及上合组织成员国贸易的影响

Influences of Russia's Accession to the WTO on the Trade of the CIS and SCO Members

本文分析了加入WTO可能对俄罗斯进出口贸易、产业发展和未来的经济走向带来的影响,梳理了俄罗斯与独联体国家、上合组织成员国尤其是中国在经贸和能源等领域的合作关系,总结了俄罗斯与独联体国家、上合组织成员国发展经贸关系的特点,重点探讨了乌克兰危机对前苏联国家以及中俄区域经济合作关系的影响,明确指出中国的"丝绸之路经济带"与欧亚联盟并不是非此即彼的选择,因为中俄两国与中亚都有着紧密的经济联系,双方共同发展与中亚地区的区域经济合作符合两国的共同利益。

This paper first analyzes the influences of Russia＇s accession to the WTO on its imports and exports, its industrial development and future economic growth. Secondly, this article explores cooperative relationships in fields such as trade and energy between Russia and the Commonwealth of Independent States （CIS）, in addition to the Shanghai Cooperation Organization（SCO） members especially China. In conclusion, characteristics of economic and trade relations between Russia and the CIS and the SCO members are discussed. In particular, influences of the Ukraine crisis on regional economic relations among the former Soviet countries and that between China and Russia are investigated as well. It is pointed out that China＇s ＂Silk Road Economic Belt＂ and the Eurasian Union are not either-or choices since there exist close economic ties between China, Russia and Central Asia. The co-development of China and Russia and the regional economic cooperation in Central Asia are in the interest of both countries.