基于个体为本模型的中国碳排放核算模型构建

Building Carbon Emissions Accounting China Model based on Agent-based Model

为合理测算中国碳排放总量,提出了以单个人为基础的碳排放核算模型。个体碳排放量受其物质资本与人力资本、消费倾向与投资倾向影响,而计算中国碳排放总量还应考虑人口增长的影响。对个体资本投资倾向提出合理假设,进而构建人口增长模型。最后,根据各省GDP分布情况,赋予模型一个初始财富值,核算出中国碳排放总量。

Through the establishment of carbon accounting model with a single individual based, calculated the carbon e- missions of individuals, and then adds the total, accounting of the total carbon emissions in china. The 34 provincial-level administrative units in China according to GDP per capita for classification, and to the provinces and autonomous regions according to the economic and demographic characteristics and technical index, individual development plan of two types of individual liberty, select each development programmed. The model of carbon emission in China from the point of view of people, which has certain guiding significance for Chinese carbon emission evaluation.