成都市农村居民现金收入影响因素实证分析

Empirical Analysis on Influence Factor of Cash Income of Rural Residents in Chengdu

当前,面对国内外经济形势的新变化,中央政府把扩大内需作为改变我国经济增长方式和缓解国际压力的重要途径之一,而扩大内需就要提高农村居民的收入水平。为研究如何提高农村居民收入问题,从现金收入的角度,选取相关变量建立向量自回归模型,运用脉冲响应、方差分解等方法,对影响现金收入增速的因素进行了实证分析。结果发现:人均现金收入增速主要受人均工资性收入增速的影响,人均家庭收入增速次之,人均转移性和财产性收入增速最小。

At present, facing with the new changes of domestic and international economic situa-tion, the central government takes expanding domestic demand as an important way to change Chinas economic growth mode and relieve international pressure, however expanding domestic demandneeds to improve the income level of rural resident. By selecting relevant variables to set up vector au-to regressive model and using impulse response and variance decomposition methods, influencing fac-tors on growth speed of cash income are analyzed empirically from the perspective of cash income. Theresults show that the growth speed of per capita cash income is mainly affected by the growth speed ofper capita salary income, and the second influence factor is the growth speed of per capita income ofhousehold, the last one is the growth of per capita metastatic and property income.