所有制结构、技术选择与产业结构变迁

Ownership Structure,Technology Chioce and the Changes of Industrial Structure

为了分析产业结构变迁背后的所有制基础,本文从所有制角度对我国的产业结构变迁进行解读。在此基础上,基于外部性对"增长模型"进行了扩展,研究发现:与社会福利最大化条件时的努力程度和产出水平相比,外部性的存在将导致民营企业的努力程度和产出水平降低,而国有企业虽然可以弥补外部性,但却会造成软预算约束成本。当弥补外部性所产生的收益超过了软预算约束成本时,国有企业的产权结构会促进产业结构高级化和合理化;反之,民营企业的产权结构会促进产业结构高级化和合理化。利用1997-2011年的省际面板数据,本文对上述命题进行了实证检验,结果证实了我们的猜想。

To analyze the relationship between industrial structure change and ownership structure, this paper firstly interpret China＇ s industrial structure change on the basis of ownership structure, and then we build an theoretical model to explain the relationship between the two. We find that：Compared with the level of effort and output in social welfare maximization, the existence of externality will deteriorate the conditions of private enterprise. What＇ s more, the SOE can offset the externalities, but will lead to the problem of SBR（ soft budget constraint）. Therefore, when the revenue of making up the external cost surpasses the cost of SBR, the SOE will allocate more resources into intermediate products production, and then promote the change of industrial structure and further economic growth, or else, the non state - owned enterprise will play a positive role in the change of industrial structure and economic growth. We test the proposition by using the panel data from 1997 to 2011 ,and the result verify our ideas.