摘要
文章基于IPAT模型对新疆能源消费碳排放的反弹效应进行分析。结果表明:1990—2010年期间,新疆碳排放总量不断增长,碳排放强度则呈现下降趋势。导致碳排放呈现反弹趋势的主要影响因素是规模效应,同时技术进步所带来的能源效率提升对碳减排的作用非常有限。碳排放强度不断下降,其中第二产业能耗碳排放强度的贡献率最大。因此,在未来的社会经济发展过程中,应更加注重提升技术进步对碳减排的贡献作用,同时合理调整产业结构,实现碳排放的有效控制。
This paper,based on IPAT model,analyzes the rebound effect of carbon emission of Xinjiang in its energy consumption during 1990 to 2010,finds a rising emission but falling intensity. The chief factor is scale effect. Energy efficiency from technical innovation is quite limited for carbon emission. The second industry contributes a lot to falling intensity. This paper suggests to focus on technical advances,adjusting industrial structure to control effectively the carbon emission in the future.
出处
《资源与产业》
2014年第6期124-128,共5页
Resources & Industries
基金
广州地理研究所所长基金创新人才项目(030)
关键词
能源消费
碳排放
碳排放强度
反弹效应
energy consumption
carbon emission
carbon emission intensity
rebound effect
