基于出口复杂度的金砖五国服务贸易技术结构及演进研究

An Export Sophistication-based Technical Structure and Evolution Trend Study on the Service Export Trade among BRICKS

通过对2004-2012年金砖五国服务贸易出口复杂度指数的测算，对金砖五国服务出口技术结构的分布及演进进行了考察。结果显示：虽然近年来我国服务出口技术结构有所优化，但服务出口的技术含量相比其他四国仍然较低，表现为服务出口“质”与“量”发展的不协调，具有质低量多的“粗放型”发展特征。中国与俄罗斯、南非的整体技术水平相近，在“质量”上存在一定程度的竞争性；而中国与印度、巴西的整体技术水平有些差距，在“质量”上存在一定的互补性。据此提出了提升我国服务出口技术水平及进一步合作的建议。

This paper applied the export sophistication index to estimate export sophistication in service trade, and analyzed the technical structure and the evolution trend of BRICKS from 2004 to 2012. The result indicates that although the technical structure has been optimized, the service export ＂quality＂ and ＂quantity＂ are not coordinated with the low quality and more amount which revealed ＂extensive＂ development characteris- tics. The technical level is close among China, Russian and South Africa and distant among India and Brazil. Finally, this paper proposed to pro- mote our country＇s technical level and cooperate further with BRICKS.