中国资本项目的变化特征研究——基于2000-2013年资本项目数据

Study on Changes in China's Capital Account——Based on Statistic from 2000 to 2013

进入21世纪,世界经济全球化与金融一体化进程不断加快,国际资本流动越来越呈现自由化的趋势,作为资本流动晴雨表的资本项目的变化也越来越受到各国关注。研究基于对2000—2013年资本项目规模和资本项目中金融账户的结构及其特征进行分析,进而对2013年后其结构变化的走势作出预判。

Since the beginning of the 21 st century, the progress of economic globalization and financial in- tegration has been accelerated and international capital movements have been flowing more freely, thus the changes in the capital account which is the barometer of the capital movements is one of the major concerns of many countries. This study analyses the scale of China＇ s capital account based on annual data from 2000 to 2013 and then predict the possible trend of the financial account.