区域粮食消费水平与预测模型研究——以辽宁省为例

Forecasting on Regional Food Security and Consumption Level by Model—Study on Liaoning Province

研究一个区域粮食消费水平并对未来需求做出科学分析,对保证粮食安全具有重要意义。为此,以辽宁省为例,研究一个区域内粮食消费构成,并根据粮食消费主要构成因子进行相关分析,分别从食用粮食消费需求、工业用粮需求、饲料粮食需求及农业种子用粮需求等方面用数学模型的方式进行科学预测,并对预测结果进行分析论证。

Study on a regional food consumption level and make a scientific analysis of the future demand , that is a important meaning to ensure food security , the thesis takes Liaoning Province as an example , study on regional food consumption level , which were analyzed according to the main components , give a scientific prediction by mathematical way respectively from food consumption , feed grain demand , industrial use of grain demand agricultural seeds , at last the prediction results are proved and analyzed .