“安倍经济学”的挫败与日本经济走势分析

The Frustration of Abenomics and the Trend of Japanese Economy

"安倍经济学"实施两年来,经历了由盛而衰的过程。其所推行的经济政策大多相互矛盾,内容无新意,治标不治本,加之利益集团的相互牵制,很难取得效果。"安倍经济学"未能使日本经济摆脱低迷,其所设定的长期政策目标几乎不能实现,面临着物价上涨、收入难增、日元急剧贬值、财政困境难以改观等诸多难题。私人消费前景黯淡,设备投资难有起色,贸易逆差难以扭转,日本经济走势不容乐观。

The Abenomics has experienced a process from prosperity to decline in the past two years. The policies in the framework of Abenomics are contractory, including nothing new and not able to address fundamental problems. In addition to the influence of various competing interest groups, the effect of Abenomics is far from satisfaction, with most all its proposed objectives failing to achieve. The Abenomics can not save Japanese economy from depression, leaving floating prices, stagnant income, sharply depreciated Yen and fiscal dilemma as unsettled problems. In the context of sluggishness of private consumption and asset investment and widening trade deficit, the prospect of Japanese economy is quite pessimistic.