电网中长期负荷预测技术探究

Grid Technology to Explore the Long-term Load Forecasting

当前,国民经济受电力工业发展的影响越来越大,电力负荷的准确预测显得越发重要。电力行业的投资、网络布局和运行的合理性在很大程度上取决于电力负荷的准确预测。首先介绍了电网规划中中长期负荷的预测步骤,其次分析、探讨了目前常用的负荷预测技术,最后预测了负荷预测技术未来的发展方向。

At present, the impact of the national economy by increasing the electric power industry development, to accurately predict the power load becomes more important. Investment in the Power sector, rational layout and operation of the network depends largely on accurate prediction of power load. First introduced in grid planning and long-term load forecasting steps, followed by analysis to explore the load forecasting techniques currently used, and finally predict the future direction of the load forecasting techniques.