基于动力学特征的疏散时间预测模型及其在高校的应用

A Forecast Model for Evacuation Based on Kinetics Features and Its Application in Colleges

运用文献资料法、模拟实验法、走访调查法等研究方法,建立了基于动力学特征的人群疏散时间的预测模型.引入楼梯距离与平地距离的折算思想,将局限于单层建筑的研究推广至多楼层的预测问题.走访多所高校教学楼,对其建筑特征进行总结,建立了适用于大多数高校教学楼的基于微分方程组的疏散时间预测模型.

By documentary analysis, experiment simulation method, investigation and oth0r methods, a forecasting model of crowd dispersal based on the characteristics of dynamics was set up, Commuting methods in converting stairs base length to diagonal distance was proposed so as to apply the limited laws of single-storey building to the prediction of multi-storey ones. Second, the shared features of different architectures had been summarized to set up a universally applicable model for crowd evacuation based on the differential equations.