摘要
本文在对上海内河运输网络中各节点集装箱生成量进行预测的基础上 ,根据公路、水路的成本比较对各节点间集装箱的运量进行分流 ,得出了未来 2 0年间上海内河网络中的集装箱运输量。从预测的结果可看出 ,随着内河集装箱运输条件的改善 ,内河集装箱运量占集装箱运输总量的比例逐渐上升 ,将成为上海国际航运中心不可缺少的集疏运方式。
On the base of the forecast of container output volume in every point of Shanghai river network and the cost for river and road container transportation, we calculate the container transportation volume in Shanghai rive network for the next 20 years. From the conclusion, we can see that the ratio of river container transportation volume to the whole container transportation volume will increase gradually, and river container transportation will become an important distribution mode for the Shanghai International Transportation Center.
出处
《预测》
CSSCI
2002年第4期30-35,共6页
Forecasting
关键词
上海
集装箱运输
运量
预测
内河运输
river network
container transportation
volume
forecast
