摘要
我国能源结构极不平衡，富煤贫油少气。积极优化能源结构，合理控制能源消费总量，加快转变经济发展模式，势在必行。本文主要依据1996年~2012年的GDP与能源消费量的统计数据，利用灰色关联分析建立模型，对能源消费种类与经济增长的关联度进行定量分析，得出能源与国民经济发展的关联程度依次大小为天然气＞可再生能源＞石油＞煤炭，为我国进行优化能源结构提供了一定的理论依据。
The energy structure is not extremely balanced,which is rich coal and less oil and gas. There is imperative to adjust the energy structure,control the total energy consumption reasonably,and accelerate the transformation of the mode of economic development. In this paper,the gray relevance theory is used to build a model to make quantitative analy-sis of the correlation between species for energy consumption and economic growth. The conclusion is reached that the con-nection degree of energy and national economy is natural gas＆gt;renewable energy＆gt;oil＆gt;coal,which is the theory basis for our country to optimize the energy structure.
关键词
能源结构
能源消费
灰色关联
GDP
经济增长
energy structure
energy consumption
gray relevance
GDP
economic growth
