面向突发事件应急决策的情报支撑作用研究

Study on Intelligence in Supporting Emergency Decision-making

突发事件应急决策是一个动态循环、多部门协同联动的过程,情报贯穿其中,发挥着重要的决策支撑作用。支撑突发事件应急决策的情报具有相对性、转换性和时效性,包括经验情报、实时情报、衍生情报和经验情报等类型。通过情报与应急决策的相互作用分析,提出以人为主体,联系情报与决策的"情-人-策"(QRC)模式,并在突发事件应急决策的情报支撑过程框架下,对情报的支撑要素进行综合集成,从情报角度为应急决策研究与实践提供参考。

The emergency decision is a dynamic cycle, and multi-sector collaborative linkage process. The activity during the entire emergency decision has important intelligence support role. Intelligence for emergency decision has three important features of relative, conversion and timeliness , which includes four types intelligence of basic, real - time, scalability and empirical. According to the interaction of intelligence and emergency decision, it proposes the ＂intelligence （Q）-people （R）-decision （C）＂ pattern and integrates the intelligence elements for supporting emergency decision process. From intelligence perspective, it provides reference for emergency decision study and practice.