基于马尔可夫骨架过程的渔业资源管理模型研究

The Study of Fishery Resource Management Model Based on Markov Skeleton Process

利用侯振挺等提出的马尔可夫骨架过程理论研究了渔业资源管理模型,利用马尔可夫骨架过程理论对其进行建模,并对其进行理论证明,得出结论:未来任一时刻t的渔场中的鱼量是一非负线性方程的最小非负解.可用该模型对未来任意时刻渔场中的鱼量进行预测,预测实例表明了该方法的有效性.

The management model of fishery resource was studied by using the theory of Markov skeleton process by Zhenting Hou etc. The management model of fishery resource was set up by Markov skeleton process,and was proved theoretically. The results showed that the amount of fish at any time t was a minimum nonnegative solution of a nonnegative linear equation. So the number of fish in a fishery could be predicted at any time in the future. Prediction example showed the effectiveness of the method.