摘要
通过构建VAR模型,并运用协整检验、脉冲响应函数与方差分解等分析方法,对福建省2000-2012年服务业实际利用FDI与服务贸易之间的长期动态关系进行了实证研究。结果显示:在短期内,服务业FDI与服务出口存在互补关系,与服务进口存在替代关系;长期来看,服务业FDI与服务进出口的关系不稳定。最后根据结论给出一些政策建议。
Carry on the empirical study about the long--term dynamic relationship between service FDI and service trade by constructing the VAR model, and using co--integration test, impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis method and so on. we use the sample period 2002--2012 from Fujian service industry. The results show that： in the short term, there is a complementary relationship between service industry and services exports FDI, and a alternative relationship between service industry and service imports FDI;in the long term, the relationship is instability. Finally, based on the conclusions I put forward the corresponding policy suggestion.
出处
《科技和产业》
2015年第1期40-43,共4页
Science Technology and Industry
关键词
FDI
服务贸易
脉冲响应
方差分解
FDI
service trade
impulse response
variance decomposition
