试析哈马斯、真主党、“基地”组织的异同及其关系

Analysis on Similarities and Differences among Hamas,Hizballah,Al-Qaeda and Their Relations

哈马斯、真主党、"基地"组织三者在意识形态和理念上有一些共同点:均以伊斯兰教为根本指导原则,以建立伊斯兰政权为最终目标,强烈反对西方和以色列,推崇圣战、推崇武装斗争,反对中东和平进程等。但三者在现阶段目标、战略重心、对圣战的理解和武力的使用、成员、活动、对外关系、教派基础等方面有显著不同。目前,没有证据表明哈马斯与真主党、"基地"组织有直接的关系。哈马斯深受真主党的影响,但实际上是要远离"基地"组织。从近期发展态势来看,这3个组织依然会比较活跃。哈马斯与真主党依然会继续相互支持,但发展实质性密切关系的可能性不大,哈马斯不大可能和"基地"组织发展直接关系。

Hamas, Hizballah and al -Qaeda have certain common features in ideology and basic ideas. Firstly, the three organizations are guided by Islam, aiming at the establishment of Islamic regimes. Secondly, they are all opposed to the West and Israel. Thirdly, they advocate Jihad and armed struggle. Lastly, they refuse the Middle East Peace Process. Meanwhile, these organizations are quite different in the aspects of immediate goal, strategic priority, the understanding of Jihad , the use of armed force, the activities of members, foreign relations as well as sectarian basis. Currently, there is little evidence that shows Hamas has direct connections with Hizaballah and al -Qaeda. Hamas was profoundly affected by Hizballah while it kept far away from al -Qaeda. Judged by the recent development and situation, all the three organizations will keep active in near future. Hamas and Hizballab will continue to support each other with little possibility of developing close relations, while Hamas is unlikely to have direct connection with al - Qaeda.