我国锯材进口与木质家具出口的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between China's Imports of Sawn Timber and Exports of Wooded Furniture

我国是第一大锯材进口国,第一大家具出口国。本文首先分析了我国锯材进口、主要木质家具出口的现状,接着用时间序列的平稳性检验、协整检验、误差的单位根检验、格兰杰因果检验,得到我国锯材的进口与主要木质家具的出口存在长期平稳性,而且主要木质家具的出口是我国锯材进口的格兰杰原因,最后做出总结及建议。

China is the biggest sawn timber importer,and the largest furniture exporter in the world. This paper firstly analyzes the status of the imports of sawn timber and the exports of main wooden furniture. Then by using time series stationary test , co - integration test, error unit root test, and Granger - causality test, the conclusion can be gotten that there are the long - term stability between the imports of sawn wood and the exports of main wooden furniture, and the exports of the main wooden furniture are the granger reason of the imports of thesawn timber in China. In the end, this paper, makes a conclusion and put forward the suggestion.