近期巴基斯坦经济发展走势分析

Pakistan's Economic Development: A Recent Trend

进入2013—2014年度,巴基斯坦的财政赤字率下降,通货膨胀率降低,对外贸易逆差情况改善,汇率趋于稳定,因而宏观经济形势有所好转。巴的经济增长已经连年稳步回升。但是,由于储蓄率和投资率低,经济结构不合理,人力资本开发水平低,基础设施建设滞后,政府债务负担重,政治制度不完善,国内不太安全等因素限制,巴的经济可持续发展能力不强。如果巴国内政治稳定及安全形势不恶化,世界经济形势也不再恶化,今后几年,巴的经济增长率年均可达5%左右。

Pakistan's economic growth has rebounded for several years. However, the ability for sustainable economic growth remains flabby because of the low savings and investment rates, the problematic economic structure, the poor infrastructure, and the government debt burden. Pakistan's economic growth rate will probably reach about 5% in following years if a stable political and security situation prevails and global economy keeps growing.