FTA框架下中国—新西兰农产品贸易发展研究

Agricultural Product Trade Development Between China and New Zealand Under the Framework of FTA

利用UN Comtrade数据,基于产业内贸易指数、显示性比较优势指数、贸易互补性指数、修正出口相似度指数和贸易强度指数从结构性、互补性、竞争性和潜力四个方面对1995—2012年中国和新西兰农产品总贸易和分类贸易的发展进行了研究。研究表明:中国—新西兰自由贸易区建立后,产业间贸易趋势越来越凸显;中国和新西兰各类别农产品的比较优势存在较大差异;中国农产品出口与新西兰农产品进口、新西兰农产品出口与中国农产品进口的贸易互补性都不强,但自贸区建立后,前者互补性略有加强,后者互补性进一步减弱;中国和新西兰农产品在世界市场上有一定竞争,但自贸区建立后竞争激烈程度有所下降;中国和新西兰在很多农产品类别上具有紧密的贸易关系。

Based on data from UN Comtrade,this paper analyzes agricultural product general trade and classified trade development between China and New Zealand from perspectives of structure, complementarity, competi- tiveness and potentiality from 1995 to 2012 by using intra-industry trade index,revealed comparative advantage index, trade complementarity index, export similarity index and trade intensity index. The results show that the interindustry trade trend is strengthening after the sign of FTA ; there are huge differences in the agricultural product category between China and New Zealand; the complementarities between China agricultural product export and New Zealand agricultural product import, New Zealand agricultural product export and China agricultural product import are both weak, but the former gets stronger after the sign of FTA while the latter gets weaker; there is a certain competition between China and New Zealand agricultural product in the world market, but the degree of the competition is declining; the agricultural trade ties among many categories of agricultural product between China and New Zeal- and is close.