经济增长与物流能力发展动态耦合协调性研究——基于江苏省的面板数据

Research On Dynamic Coupling Coordination Between Economic Growth And Logistics Capacity Development——Based On the Panel Data Of Jiangsu Province

本文在阐述了经济增长与物流能力发展概念基础上,论述了二者相互作用的动态耦合协调发展机制,构建了它们的指标评价体系,引入了动态耦合协调度模型,。并据此对江苏省1990-2012年间经济增长与物流能力发展评价值,动态耦合协调度进行了测算。发现该省在23年间,经济一直稳定持续增长,经济增长和物流发展能力耦合协调性也一直在稳步提高,但物流能力发展呈现一定时期的间断性波动,且目前明显滞后于经济增长。对此,江苏省应采取措施促进经济的协调发展,特别强调利用科技加强物流能力发展。

In this article through the concept of economic growth and the logistics capacity development elaborated and the dynamic interaction mechanism of them discussed, the evaluation index system and the dynamic coupling coordination degree model of them is constructed. On this basis , the coupling coordination degree and the evaluation value of the economic growth and the logistics capacity development of Jiangsu province during 1990-2012 is calculated. The results shows that the economy and the dynamic coupling coordination degree of economic growth and the logistics capacity development also has been steadily increasing, but the logistics capability development presents intermittent wave in certain period in the past 23 years and obviously lags behind economic growth now. In this regard, Jiangsu province must take some measures to promote the coordinated development of economy, place particular stress on the use of science and technology to promote the development of logistics capacity.