基于证据理论的中小科技企业成长能力研究

Evaluation of Growth Ability of Small and Medium-sized Sci-tech Enterprises Based on D-S Evidence Theory

企业成长能力评价旨在帮助企业找出影响企业进一步成长的关键因素并及时采取有效措施,提高企业的综合能力。文章分析了评价中小科技企业成长能力应考虑的主要因素,采用理论分析、频度分析等方法,从外部成长能力和内部成长能力两个方面构建评价指标体系,运用证据理论推理方法,对企业成长能力进行评价,并给出了证据推理的算法步骤。最后通过对三家企业的算例分析,说明该方法的有效性、实用性。

The enterprise growth ability evaluation aims to help the enterprise to find out the key factors influencing the further growth of the enterprise and to take timely and effective measures to improve the comprehensive ability of the enterprise. In this paper, the main factors in evaluating the growth ability of small and medium-sized sci-tech enterprises are analyzed, and by using theoretical analysis, frequency analysis and other methods, the evaluation index system is constructed in view of external growth ability and internal growth ability. The enterprise growth ability is evaluated by using the evidence theory, and the algorithm steps of evidence reasoning are given. Finally, the effective- ness and practicality of the method are illustrated through a case analysis of three enterprises.