贸易开放、人力资本与中国区域收入空间效应——基于地级及以上行政区域经验数据分析

TRADE OPENNESS,HUMAN CAPITAL AND THE SPATIAL EFFECT OF REGIONAL INCOME——Based on Empirical Data of Chinese Prefecture Level Regions

本文基于中国326个地级及以上行政区域2010—2012年的数据,利用空间杜宾增长模型(SDM)来测算贸易开放对中国区域人均收入的影响。本文测算了各个区域贸易开放和人力资本对人均收入水平的直接、间接和总影响。结果表明:一个区域的贸易开放程度越高越能促进当地经济的发展,对相邻区域的人均收入也会产生正的影响。同时笔者也发现,人力资本对中国各个区域的经济增长会产生正的直接和间接影响。

This paper employs a spatial Durbin growth model to estimate the impact of trade openness on regional per capita income in China using a data set of 326 Chinese prefecture level regions over the period 2010-2012. We calculate the direct, indirect and cumulative impact on per capita income of trade openness and human capital in these regions. Results indicate that greater trade openness in a region promotes economic development locally, and exerting positive influence on per capita income of the neighboring regions. Our findings also show that human capital has a positive-direct and indirect-impact on the economic development of Chinese prefecture level regions.