影响我国参与东亚零部件贸易因素的实证分析

Factors Influencing China Parts and Components Trade in East Asia: an Empirical Study

文章选取2000-2012年的我国参与东亚零部件贸易的相关数据,借助引力模型,运用面板模型对影响我国参与东亚区域零部件贸易的因素进行实证分析,结果表明:外商直接投资、国内生产总值、零部件关税税率对我国参与东亚区域零部件贸易的影响相对较大,而2008年金融危机这一虚拟变量及两国间的距离对零部件产品贸易的影响不显著。在此基础上,结合我国当前零部件贸易的发展现状及特点,文章有针对性的从国家和企业两方面提出了进一步扩大我国参与东亚零部件贸易的规模及提升在东亚贸易中地位的政策建议。

An empirical study of the factors influencing China parts and components trade in East Asia is conducted by selecting the data concerning China involvement in East Asian parts and components trade and via gravity model as well as panel data model. The results show that such factors as foreign direct investment, gross domestic product and parts/components tariffs have significant influence on China parts and components trade in this region while the influences of the 2008 financial crisis as a dummy variable and the distance between two countries on parts/components intraproduct trade are not significant. Accordingly, some policy proposals are provided, cornbined with the developing status and features of China parts/components trade and in terms of country and enterprises, so as to widen the trade scale and enhance Chinag status in East Asian trade