东西部六大热点城市入境与国内旅游发展及比较优势分析

Comparative Advantage Analysis of Inbound and Domestic Tourism Development in Six Hot Spot Cities of Eastern and Western China

选取北京、上海、广州及西安、成都、昆明六个热点城市,分析入境旅游和国内旅游的发展阶段、时间同步性及市场相位差异,发现西安、成都、昆明属国内旅游导向型城市,北京、上海属入境旅游与国内旅游均衡发展型城市,而广州属入境旅游导向型城市。在此基础上,利用2000—2012年混合面板数据,分别建立了入境旅游与国内旅游影响因素模型。结果显示:入境旅游受经济发展水平、贸易依存度、航空客运量影响最大,这与北京、上海、广州对外开放度高、国际航班及客运量大、对外经贸联系密切相关,应以入境旅游为导向;而西安、成都、昆明地处内陆,旅游资源丰富、腹地人口密度较高、铁路客运量较高,在发展国内旅游上具有相对优势,应实施内向型战略,积极发展国内旅游。

This paper select Beijing, Shanghai Guangzhou and Xi＇an, Chengdu, Kunming to analyze the development phase, time synchronization and space quadrant of inbound tourism and domestic tourism. it concluded that Xi＇an,Chengdu, Kunming are domestic tourism- oriented cities, Beijing and Shanghai are the balanced development cities,Guangzhou is inbound tourism-oriented cities. Then based on panel data in 2000—2012 to establish inbound tourism and domestic tourism traffic influencing factors Models. The results show that trade dependence and air passenger traffic are the most important factors in inbound tourism, which is related to high degree of opening, large international flights and passenger volume and close contact foreign trade in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou. So They should give top priority to inbound tourism. While Xi＇an, Chengdu and Kunming are in inland, they are rich in tourism resources, and have high population density in the hinterland and railway passenger traffic. The western regions have some advantages in domestic tourism, they should based on domestic tourism and implement inward-oriented strategy.