基于连续批信息的制导武器鉴定试验方案及风险分析

Evaluation Test Scheme and Risk Analysis on the Guidance Weapon Based on Continuous Batch Information

为了科学制定制导武器的可靠性鉴定试验方案,在论证基于连续批信息的批抽样方案的Bayes风险分析方法的基础上,重点对比分析了利用连续批验收试验数据与利用当前批的地面试验数据确定超参数的方法,并以连续批的验收试验数据为先验信息,制定了某制导武器鉴定试验的抽样方案,结果表明基于连续批先验信息的Bayes方法在确定可靠性批验收准则和双方风险方面是可行且较优的.

In order to make a scientific plan of reliability evaluation test scheme on guided weapon,the Bayes risk analysis methods was approved based on continuous batch information sampling plan.The method of using continuous batch acceptance test data and using the current batch of ground test data to determine super parameters was comparatively analyzed as a focus.A sampling scheme for guided weap-on evaluation test was developed with the acceptance test data of continuous batch as a priori informa-tion.This paper concluded that the proposed was feasible and optimum on determining reliability ap-proved acceptance criteria and risks of both sides.