新疆经济发展与水资源消耗脱钩态势研究

A Research into Decoupling Trend Between Xinjiang's Economic Development and Water Resources Utilization

水资源时空分布的不均衡性对新疆经济发展是一种无法忽视的制约和瓶颈。通过构建模型对新疆经济发展与水资源消耗机理进行分析。结果表明:2000-2011年,新疆经济发展与水资源消耗总体上处于弱脱钩状态,水资源利用增速慢于GDP增速;农业用水一直是新疆水资源消耗的主要构成部分,其次是生态用水、第二产业用水和第三产业用水,用水结构有恶化的趋势,节水型农业和工业尚未完全建立。基于此,提出了实现新疆水资源利用与经济协调可持续发展的若干政策建议。

The uneven temporal and spatial distribution of water resources in Xinjiang is a bottle- neck and constraint in Xinjiang＇s economic development. The authors of this paper have con- structed an analysis model to study Xinjiang＇s economic development and utilization of water re- sources. The results show that Xinjiang＇s economic growth and the overall water utilization in 2000--2011 is weakly decoupling, water resource utilization growth is slower than the GDP growth rate, agricultural water consumption comes first, followed by second industry and third indus- try, the water structure has a tendency to deteriorate, and water-saving agriculture and industries are still not fully established. Based on these findings, the authors put forward some policy suggestions for sustainable economic development with appropriate utilization of water resources in Xinjiang.