情景预估在气候变化科普中的作用

The role of scenario forecast in the dissemination of climate change science

通过对国内外情景预估模拟展现气候变化前景和极端气象条件下的灾害事件正、反两方面的案例分析,总结情景预估应用的经验和教训,提出充分发挥情景预估辅助作用的思路,并展望未来情景预估与虚拟现实等高科技结合的应用前景。

Based on the analysis on cases of domestic and foreign scenario forecast,which simulate to show the two aspects of disaster event under the prospect of climate change and extreme weather,the experience and lessons of the application of scenario forecast were summarized to provide the ideas of how to give full play to the auxiliary function of scene forecast and look forward to application prospect of combination of future scenario forecast and virtual reality technique.