国内外农产品价格传导路径

Conduction Path between Agricultural Product Price at Home and Abroad

对国内外农产品价格及其涨幅进行了对比分析。从国际农产品价格、国际原油价格向国内农产品价格传导的角度,利用结构方程模型探讨了国内外农产品价格的传导路径。结果显示:国际农产品价格对国内农产品价格具有直接的传导效应,国际原油价格对国内农产品价格具有间接的传导效应,国内货币政策对国内农产品价格的间接影响较为显著。

This paper analyzes domestic and international agricultural products＇ prices and their increasing status comparatively.It uses the SEM to explore the conduction path between domestic and international agricultural product prices from the perspectives of international agricultural product price,international crude oil price.The result shows as follows：the prices of international agricultural products have direct conduction effects on the prices of domestic agricultural products,and international crude oil prices have indirect conduction effects on the prices of domestic agricultural products,and domestic monetary policies have indirect effects on the prices of domestic agricultural product.