基于shift-share方法的江苏省生产性服务业产业结构分析

Jiangsu province productive service industry structure analysis based on shift-share method

该文运用shift-share方法的基本原理与数学模型,以全国生产性服务业发展情况为参照系,对江苏省生产性服务业的特点及6个产业部门的份额、结构及竞争力进行了分析。研究表明,交通运输、仓储和邮政业、金融业、房地产业、科学研究、技术服务和地质勘查业生产率和份额同步增长,竞争力较强;信息传输、计算机服务和软件业虽然发展基础较好,但不具有竞争优势,落后于全国的平均水平;租赁和商务服务业基础较弱,但具有较快的发展速度。本研究希望能够对江苏省生产性服务业的发展提供参考和借鉴。

Based on the shift-share method, the ba- sic principles and mathematical models was used to analyze the share, structure and competitiveness of producer services in Jiangsu Province with the develop- ment of nationwide producer services as the reference system. The results show that the productivity and mar- ket share of transportation, storage and postal industry, financial industry, real estate, scientific research, technical services and geological prospecting industry were growing with more competitiveness. Al- though the development of the foundation was better, the information transmission, computer services and software industry, however, did not have a competitive advantage and lagged behind the national average. The foundation of leasing and business service industry was weak, but had a faster growth rate. The aim of this study was to provide useful information to the development of producer services in Jiangsu Province.