基于灰色模型的我国铁矿石需求量预测分析

Based on Grey Prediction Model Analysis and Forecast of Iron Ore Demand in China

采用将进口量和需求量挂钩来预测铁矿石需求量,摒弃了原有的与粗钢挂钩的预测原则。对我国铁矿石需求量采用灰色预测模型来预测,得出2017年我国铁矿石需求量为21亿吨左右,并指出我国铁矿石需求增长的趋势短期内是难以扭转的。

This paper forecast iron ore demand in China through import of iron ore not crude steel. On China iron ore for short -term this paper use grey prediction model to predict the demand quantity of iron ore in 2017 is about 2. lbillion tons. Finally the growth of China＇s iron ore demand in the short term is difficult to re- verse the trend.