基于DEA交叉评价的中国三线城市新型城镇化水平研究

Research on Third-Line Cities' New Urbanization Level Based on DEA Cross Evaluation

本文在深入分析城镇化内涵的基础上,构建了量质并举的新型城镇化水平评价指标体系,创造性地运用DEA交叉评价模型解决指标体系赋权问题,并以我国31个三线城市为例展开实证研究,通过相关分析探寻影响新型城镇化水平的各种因素。研究发现我国城镇化的量、质关系远未协调,且有明显的地域差异,城镇化质量的东、中、西递减格局明显;推进落后地区的城镇化更有利于扩大消费需求,但以城镇化带动城乡差距缩小仍是长期过程。

This paper constructs an index system of new urbanization level based on deeper analysis in urbanization＇s connotation, and the DEA cross evaluation method is creatively used to solve weighting problem. We select 31 third- hne cities to evaluate their new ur- banization level in 2012, and correlation analyses show that urbanization＇s quantity and quality are not only unsynchronized but also region- ally different. To promote backward areas＇ urbanization would expand more consumption demand, but it still needs a long time to reduce the city and countryside disparity.