民族地区地方政府债务状况的评价与建议

COMMENT AND SUGGESTIONS TO THE DEBT MANAGEMENT OF LOCAL GOVERNMENT IN MINORITY AREAS

目前,有关我国地方债务问题的研究备受关注。民族地区地方政府债务形成和发展与全国具有同步性,但债务压力和债务风险比全国大部分地区形势要严重,其主要来源于"吃饭财政"、土地财政、地方政府融资平台以及自然灾害和其他突发经济社会事件的影响。从理论研究层面和数据实证层面都可以看出,民族地区地方政府债务规模较大、增长较快,且县级债务负担更重,信用违约风险概率更高。因此,应高度重视民族地区地方债务问题,以求尽量客观、完整、准确评价债务风险,全面提高债务管理水平。

Presently, the researches on the issues of debt in local governments catch extensive atten- tions. The formation and development of the local government debt in minority areas are synchronous to the whole county, however, the situation of debt pressure and debt risk in these areas are more serious than that in most parts of the country. They mainly come from ＇ rise fiscal＇ , ＇ land fiscal, platform of capital - raising of the local government as well as impacts of natural disasters and proruption of other economic and social e- vents. This is shown in levels of theoretical research and statistic demonstration that the scale of local gov- ernment debt in minority areas is relatively big and the speed of growth is relatively fast, furthermore, the debt burdens of the county level of government are more serious, the risk probability of credit breaching is higher. Therefore, sufficient attentions should be paid to the issue of local debts in minority areas in order to evaluate debt risk as objective, fully and accurately as ment comprehensively. possible, so as to improve standards of debt manage-ment comprehensively.