人口结构与地方政府义务教育公共支出——基于中国省级面板数据的研究

Population Structure and Public Expenditure on Compulsory Education of Sub-national Governments——Based on China's Provincial Panel Data

利用我国2007-2011年间31个省市地区的平衡面板数据,从供给和需求两方面出发实证分析我国义务教育公共服务支出影响因素。在影响供给的因素讨论中,考察了财政收入、财政分权程度、转移支付、政府竞争力等因素。在影响需求的因素讨论中,探讨了人口自然与非自然结构,人口家庭结构对义务教育公共服务需求的影响。最后将我国分为东部、中部、西部三个地区,进一步剖析我国义务教育公共服务支出影响因素的区际差异。

Based on balanced panel data from China’s 31 provinces during 2007-2011,this paper attempts to empirically analyze the influences of China’s public expenditure on compulsory education from the view of supply and demand.Such factors affecting supply are investigated as financial income,degree of fiscal decentralization,transfer payments and government competitiveness.Besides, such factors affecting demand are discussed as how the natural structure,unnatural structure and family structure of population affect the demand for public service.Finally,by dividing China into the eastern,central and western parts,this paper further dissects the in-ter-regional differences of the influencing factors of China’s public service expenditure on compulsory education.