别以为顺差就是多挣钱

The Surplus from Less Earning

金融危机以后，外贸在中国经济中的贡献大不如前。但最近两个季度，贸易顺济稳定重要力量，一定程度上弥补了内需不足的负面影响。2014年三季度，贸易顺差高达1282亿美元。前三季度净出口对GDP增速的贡献达0．8个百分点，这在2010年以来是非常罕见的，过去几年净出口的贡献一般是负的。

After the financial crisis,the contribution of foreign trade to the Chinese economy has declined.But for the last two quarters,a substantial increase in the trade surplus has become an important force for economic stability,making up for the negative influence of insufficient domestic demand to a certain extent.Different from the trade surplus led by rapid export growth before the financial crisis,the current high growth of surplus is abnormal.Surplus is not always good.If it is brought about by export improvement,it can be viewed as a good sign.If it is led by import atrophy,it will be evidence of a worse economic situation.Actually,China saw a negative export growth and a mild import growth in 2014.Its exports grew at a rate of 6.1%,a decrease of1.7 percentage points,reflecting the declining trend of the global economy,especially those emerging economies.The country's imports grew by only 0.4%,a decrease of6.8 percentage points,demonstrating the remarkably shrinking domestic demand.This abnormal tendency might continue in2015,eventually bringing an improvement of the GDP number,other than benefits to enterprises.