国际油价暴跌对航运市场的影响分析

Analysis of the influence of the falling international oil prices to shipping market

2014年6月份以来,国际油价从高位迅速回落,布伦特（Brent）原油价从6月19日的115美元/桶的年度高点持续下跌,直至跌破50美元/桶,目前在50美元/桶波动。短期内,低油价对于航运企业降低成本有一定作用。但长期来看,对于航运业的影响程度非常深远,影响航运公司在节能减排、经济航速以及订造节能环保型船舶等方面的决策。

Since June 2014, international oil prices fell rapidly from high position. Brent crude prices fell from June 19 year high point of $115 per barrel continually, until below $50 a barrel, at present $50 a barrel. In the short term, low oil prices would be helpful for shipping companies to reduce costs. But in the long run, the impact of the shipping industry is profound, affecting shipping company in energy conservation and emissions reduction, economic speed and producing energy efficiently and environmentally friendly aspects of decision-making of the ship. Specific to each shipping sector affected by the differences, the tanker market is benefited the most, while marine engineering and the related semi-submersible ship market is severely damaged. The dry bulk and container freight market is dominated more by capacity of supply and demand relations, and the drop in oil prices will lead fuel oil surcharge to be reduced correspondingly, the falling costs will eventually benefit to the shipper or consignor.