基于Eviews软件的全棉斜纹布价格指数的建模预测

Modeling and Forecasting of Cotton Twill Price Index Based on Eviews Software

结合全棉斜纹布市场运营价格指数的数据,采用Eviews软件在时间序列的相关理论基础上对全棉斜纹布大类及单产品价格指数进行建模和实证分析。结果表明,构建的预测模型对全棉斜纹布价格指数市场运行变化走势有较好的拟合效果,所建模型在置信理论区间内的预测值精度较为理想,可以为生产者和市场经营及管理者研究全棉斜纹布市场价格走势提供参考数据。

Combined with the data of cotton twill market price indexes,Eviews software was used to model and conduct empirical analysis of price indexes of cotton twill and single product on the basis of time series theory.The results indicate that the prediction mode has good fitting effect for cotton twill price index trend.The prediction precise of the model is ideal in the theoretic confidence interval.So,it can provide reference data for producers,market operators and managers to comprehensively study cotton twill price index trend.